Big Story of 2012: Stampede Out of Bonds into Stocks ?
Investor’s first read – Brooksie’s edge before the open
Thursday, January 12, 2012 9:09 a.m. ET
DJIA: 12,449.45 S&P 500: 1292.48
Stampede out of bonds into stocks ? Unlikely, according to most of what you read and hear, but you better acknowledge it CAN HAPPEN. The ingredients are in place for a surprise.
TODAY: Both the DJIA and S&P 500 hit my support level and bounced back, suggesting buyers are there. At 3:a.m. ET this morning, the U.S. stock-index futures were down, at 6 a.m. they are up – not bad for a nervous market. Some of the buying we are seeing so far in 2012 is reinvestment of cash raised from year-end selling, some of it is cash designated for initial investing in the new year. Is this a distortion, or smoke screen for heavy selling that may come in later this month ?
Too early to tell, but what I see in individual charts is positive – steady buying, buying on dips or after brief consolidations.
POSITIVES :
Spain sold 9.98 billion euros of 2015 and 2016 bonds yesterday at 3.384 percent vs. a rate of 5.187 percent for comparable bonds in December. It sold two times as many bonds as expected. Italy sold 12 billion euros of t-bills, 8.5 billion euros one-year bill at 2.735 percent vs a rate of 5.952 in its last auction.
Bank stocks had a good day. Three in particular traded on above average volume: Bank of America ( BAC ) +3.62%, Citigroup ( C ) + 4.23% and SunTrust ( STI ) +2.88%.
Half of the 30 Dow stocks advances and 28 of the 39 leading Nasdaq stocks advanced. More stocks advanced on the NYSE than declined. Advancing issues have been beating declining issues since late December.
Michigan Merchant Cash Advance - News
Tuesday: Wholesale Trade (10 am) Indicates sales and inventories held by merchant wholesalers. Inventories increased well below projections in November with a gain of only 0.1 percent vs. a 1,2 percent gain in October. MBA Applications (7 am) Measures
Colorado College: The Tigers beat Wisconsin and Alaska-Anchorage to advance to the NCAA Tournament, where they knocked off powerhouse Boston College then fell to Michigan in the quarterfinals. CC is off to a high-scoring start this season.
So he's trying to cut down on the use of cash, severely limiting the maximum allowed to be used for big ticket items, for example. Italians don't use credit cards like we do because merchants give them discounts on cash purchases, which they can then
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